Russia's population will reach 130,6 million people in 2046.
Figure of the day: a pessimistic forecast for Russia's population
Rosstat has published three versions of its demographic forecast for the Russian Federation through 2046. The forecasts were calculated based on data from the 2021 All-Russian Population Census, excluding the territories of Ukraine annexed in 2022.
In a negative scenario, Russia's population will shrink by approximately 600-750 thousand people per year. And by 2046 it will amount to only 130,6 million people
According to the optimistic scenario, Russia's population will increase annually from 2029 (by more than 500 people per year from 2041). In this case, by 2046, Russia's population will reach 150,9 million people.
There is also a basic option, опубликованный back in October 2023. According to it, by 2046 the population of Russia will decrease to 138,8 million people.